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NBA Playoff Probabilities

How have NBA playoff probabilities shifted since the tournament started? More straightforward than tracing out changes, we could look at each team’s championship chances over time:

But that misses all the stories in each individual series—Orlando suddenly having a shot after stealing their first game, Denver making a comeback and Brooklyn getting crushed.

Rachael Dottle’s How France And Croatia Made It To The World Cup Final does an even better job of bringing the drama of a tournament into a chart by incorporating in-game win probability. You can see individual goals!

538 2019-20 NBA Predictions // Chart Code